Research
Here is my CV and Google Scholar.
Journal Articles (Peer-Reviewed)
The Economic Roots of Cross-National Similarity in Voter Preferences. American Journal of Political Science (with David Fortunato and Sebastian Juhl). Forthcoming.
[Details]The Space Between: How Ideological Similarity Limits the Effectiveness of Ambiguity. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (with Victor Shin). Forthcoming.
[Details]Problem Importance across Time and Space: Updating the ‘Most Important Problem Dataset’. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (with T. Murat Yildirim). Forthcoming.
[Details]Look Over There. Where? A Compositional Approach to Modeling Public Opinion on the Most Important Problem. Social Science Quarterly (with Steven Jokinsky, Christine S. Lipsmeyer, Andrew Q. Philips, and Guy D. Whitten). Forthcoming.
[Details]Learning at Home and Abroad: How Competition Conditions the Diffusion of Party Strategies. British Journal of Political Science (with Sebastian Juhl). 2022.
[Details]X Marks the Spot: Unlocking the Treasure of Spatial-X Models. The Journal of Politics (with Cameron Wimpy and Guy D. Whitten). 2021.
[Details]Interpretation: the Final Spatial Frontier. Political Science Research and Methods (with Cameron Wimpy and Guy D. Whitten). 2021.
[Details]Taking Time (and Space) Seriously: How Scholars Falsely Infer Policy Diffusion from Model Misspecification. Policy Studies Journal (with Cody Drolc and Christopher Gandrud). 2021.
[Details]Should We Talk about the Weather? How Party Competition and Coalition Participation Influence Politics. Party Politics (with Edward Goldring and Brandon Beomseob Park). 2020.
[Details]The ‘Most Important Problem’ Dataset (MIPD): A New Dataset on American Issue Importance. Conflict Management and Peace Science (with Colton Heffington and Brandon Beomseob Park). 2019.
[Details]Guns Yield Butter? Exploring the Individual-Level Variation in Defense Spending Attitudes. The Journal of Conflict Resolution. 2019.
[Details]Temporal Dependence and the Sensitivity of Quantities of Interest: A Solution for a Common Problem. International Studies Quarterly. 2018.
[Details]North American Public Opinion on Health and Smoking. Public Opinion Quarterly (with Raymond M. Duch and Kent L. Tedin). 2018.
[Details]All Economics Is Local: Spatial Aggregations of Economic Information. Political Science Research and Methods (with David Fortunato and Clint S. Swift). 2018.
[Details]Simulating Probabilistic Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence. The R Journal (with Christopher Gandrud). 2017.
[Details]Making and Breaking Party Leaders: An Informational Theory of Temporary and Lasting Impacts of Prime Minister Debates in Spain. Social Science Quarterly (with Inaki Sagarzazu). 2017.
[Details]Relaxing the Constant Economic Vote Restriction: Economic Evaluations and Party Support in Germany. Party Politics (with Mary Stegmaier and Marc Debus). 2017.
[Details]Opposition Parties and the Timing of Successful No-Confidence Motions. Political Science Research and Methods. 2016.
[Details]Visualize Dynamic Simulations of Autoregressive Relationships in R. The Political Methodologist (with Christopher Gandrud and Guy D. Whitten). 2016.
[Details]Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence. Political Analysis. 2016
[Details]Forecasting the 2015 British Election through Party Popularity Functions. Electoral Studies (with Mary Stegmaier). 2016.
[Details]Estimating the Defense Spending Vote. Electoral Studies. 2015.
[Details]You’ve Got Some Explaining to Do: The Influence of Economic Conditions and Spatial Competition on Party Strategy. Political Science Research and Methods (with Katsunori Seki and Guy D. Whitten). 2016.
[Details]It’s All Relative: Spatial Positioning of Parties and Ideological Shifts. European Journal of Political Research. 2015.
[Details]Don’t Stand so Close to Me: Spatial Contagion Effects and Party Competition. American Journal of Political Science (with Guy D. Whitten). 2015.
[Details]Opposition Party Policy Shifts in Response to No-Confidence Motions. European Journal of Political Science (with Zeynep Somer-Topcu). 2014.
[Details]Updating the Party Government Dataset. Electoral Studies (with Katsunori Seki). 2014.
[Details]Hawks, Doves and Opportunistic Opposition Parties. Journal of Peace Research. 2014.
[Details]Predictably Unpredictable: The Effects of Conflict Involvement on the Error Variance of Vote Models. British Journal of Political Science (with David J. Brule). 2014.
[Details]The Political Consequences of Terrorism: Terror Events, Casualties, and Government Duration. International Studies Perspective (with Michael T. Koch and Jason M. Smith). 2013.
[Details]Who Should Be the Chef? The Dynamics of Valence Evaluations across Income Groups During Economic Crises. Electoral Studies (with Harvey D. Palmer and Guy D. Whitten). 2013.
[Details]Flexible Election Timing and International Conflict. International Studies Quarterly. 2013.
[Details]The Science-Natural Resource Policy Relationship: How Aspects of Diffusion Theory Explain Data Selection for Making Biodiversity Management Decisions. Politics & Policy (with John D. Gerlach and Colleen E. Forcina). 2013.
[Details]Data Selection for Making Biodiversity Management Decisions: Best Available Science and Institutionalized Agency Norms. Administration & Society (with John D. Gerlach and Colleen E. Forcina). 2012.
[Details]But Wait There’s More! Maximizing Substantive Inferences in TSCS Models. Journal of Politics (with Guy D. Whitten). 2012.
[Details]Pick Your Poison: Economic Crises, International Monetary Fund Structural Adjustment and Leader Survival. International Political Science Review. 2012.
[Details]Unsuccessful Success? Failed No-Confidence Motions, Competence Signals, and Electoral Support. Comparative Political Studies. 2011.
[Details]Dynamic Simulations of Autoregressive Relationships. The Stata Journal (with Guy D. Whitten).
[Details]Buttery Guns and Welfare Hawks: the Politics of Defense Spending in Advanced Democracies. American Journal of Political Science (with Guy D. Whitten). 2011.
[Details]War Voting: Interstate Disputes, the Economy, and Electoral Outcomes. Conflict Management and Peace Science (with David J. Brule and Michael T. Koch). 2010.
[Details]Democracy and Diversion: Aggressive Foreign Responses to Domestic Economic Problems. Journal of Peace Research (with David J. Brule). 2009.
[Details]Survival of the Fittest? Cabinet Duration in Post-Communist Europe. Comparative Politics (with Zeynep Somer-Topcu). 2008.
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