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Refereed Publications


  • Sebastian Juhl and Laron K. Williams (forthcoming): "Learning at Home and Abroad: How Competition Conditions the Diffusion of Party Strategies," British Journal of Political Science.


  • Cody A. Drolc, Christopher Gandrud and Laron K. Williams (forthcoming): "Taking Time (and Space) Seriously: How Scholars Falsely Infer Policy Diffusion from Model Misspecification," Policy Studies Journal, PDF, and Replication.


  • Cameron Wimpy, Laron K. Williams and Guy D. Whitten (forthcoming): "X Marks the Spot: Unlocking the Treasure of Spatial-X Models," Journal of Politics, PDF, Supplemental Files, and Replication.


  • Guy D. Whitten, Laron K. Williams and Cameron Wimpy (forthcoming): "Interpretation: The Final Spatial Frontier," Political Science Research and Methods, PDF, Supplemental Files, and Replication.


  • Edward Goldring, Brandon Beomseob Park and Laron K. Williams (forthcoming): "Should We Talk about the Weather? How Party Competition and Coalition Participation Influence Parties' Attention to Economic Issues," Party Politics, PDF and Replication.


  • Laron K. Williams (forthcoming): "Guns Yield Butter? An Exploration of Defense Spending Preferences," Journal of Conflict Resolution, PDF, Additional Materials, and Replication.


  • Laron K. Williams (forthcoming): "Temporal Dependence and the Sensitivity of Quantities of Interest: A Solution for a Common Problem," International Studies Quarterly, PDF, Additional Materials, and Replication.


  • Colton Heffington, Brandon Beomseob Park and Laron K. Williams (forthcoming): "The 'Most Important Problem' Dataset (MIPD): A New Dataset on American Issue Importance," Conflict Management and Peace Science, PDF, Replication, and Website.


  • Raymond M. Duch, Kent L. Tedin and Laron K. Williams (2018): "North American Public Opinion on Health and Smoking," Public Opinion Quarterly, PDF, Replication.


  • David Fortunato, Clint S. Swift and Laron K. Williams (2018): "All Economics Is Local: Spatial Aggregations of Economic Information," Political Science and Research Methods, PDF, Replication materials and Appendix.


  • Christopher Gandrud and Laron K. Williams (2017): "Simulating Probabilistic Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence," The R Journal, PDF


  • Inaki Sagarzazu and Laron K. Williams (2017): "Making and Breaking Party Leaders: An Informational Theory of Temporary and Lasting Impacts of Prime Minister Debates in Spain," Social Science Quarterly, PDF


  • Laron K. Williams, Mary Stegmaier and Marc Debus (2017): "Relaxing the Constant Economic Vote Restriction: Economic Evaluations and Party Support in Germany," Party Politics, PDF, Replication.


  • Laron K. Williams (2016): "Opposition Parties and the Timing of Successful No-Confidence Motions," Political Science Research and Methods, PDF, Additional Materials, Replication.


  • Christopher Gandrud, Laron K. Williams and Guy D. Whitten (2016): "Visualize Dynamic Simulations of Autoregressive Relationships in R," the Political Methodologist, PDF, R Command.


  • Laron K. Williams (2016): "Long-Term Effects for Models with Temporal Dependence," Political Analysis, PDF, Replication materials and Appendix, and Website.


  • Mary Stegmaier and Laron K. Williams (2016): "Forecasting the 2015 British Election through Party Popularity Functions," Electoral Studies, PDF


  • Laron K. Williams, Katsunori Seki and Guy D. Whitten (2016): "You've Got Some Explaining to Do: The Influence of Economic Conditions and Spatial Competition on Party Strategy," Political Science Research and Methods. PDF, Supporting Information, Replication.


  • Laron K. Williams and Guy D. Whitten (2015): "Don't Stand So Close to Me: Spatial Contagion Effects and Party Competition," American Journal of Political Science. PDF, Supporting Information, Replication.


  • Laron K. Williams (2015): "Estimating the Defense Spending Vote," Electoral Studies. PDF, Additional Materials, Replication.


  • Laron K. Williams (2015): "It's All Relative: Spatial Positioning of Parties and Ideological Shifts," European Journal of Political Research. PDF, Additional Materials, Replication.


  • Zeynep Somer-Topcu and Laron K. Williams (2014): "Opposition Party Policy Shifts in Response to No-Confidence Motions," European Journal of Political Research. PDF, Replication.


  • Katsunori Seki and Laron K. Williams (2014): "Updating the Party Government Data Set," Electoral Studies. PDF, Replication, and Website.


  • Laron K. Williams (2014): "Hawks, Doves and Opportunistic Opposition Parties," Journal of Peace Research. PDF, Online Appendix and Replication Materials.


  • Laron K. Williams and David J. Brule (2014): "Predictably Unpredictable: The Effects of Conflict Involvement on the Error Variance of Vote Models," British Journal of Political Science. PDF, Online Appendix and Replication Materials.


  • Harvey D. Palmer, Guy D. Whitten and Laron K. Williams (2013): "Who Should be the Chef? The Dynamics of Valence Evaluations across Income Groups During Economic Crises," Electoral Studies. PDF and Replication Materials.


  • Laron K. Williams (2013): "Flexible Election Timing and International Conflict," International Studies Quarterly. PDF, Online Appendix and Replication Materials.


  • John D. Gerlach, Laron K. Williams and Colleen Forcina (2013): "The Science-Natural Resource Policy Relationship: How Aspects of Diffusion Theory Explain Data Selection for Making Biodiversity Management Decisions," Politics & Policy. PDF.


  • John D. Gerlach, Laron K. Williams and Colleen Forcina (2012): "Data Selection for Making Biodiversity Management Decisions: Best Available Science and Institutionalized Agency Norms," Administration & Society. PDF.


  • Laron K. Williams, Michael T. Koch and Jason M. Smith (2012): "The Political Consequences of Terrorism: Terror Events, Casualties, and Government Duration," International Studies Perspectives. PDF and Online Appendix.


  • Laron K. Williams and Guy D. Whitten (2012): "But Wait, There's More! Maximizing Substantive Inferences from TSCS Models," Journal of Politics. PDF, Online Appendix and Replication Materials.


  • Guy D. Whitten and Laron K. Williams (2011): "Dynamic Simulations of Autoregressive Relationships," The Stata Journal. PDF and Stata Command.


  • Laron K. Williams (2011): "Pick Your Poison: Economic Crises, International Monetary Fund Structural Adjustment and Leader Survival," International Political Science Review. PDF.


  • Guy D. Whitten and Laron K. Williams (2011): "Buttery Guns and Welfare Hawks: The Politics of Defense Spending in Advanced Industrial Democracies", American Journal of Political Science. PDF, Supporting Information and Replication Materials.


  • Laron K. Williams (2011): "Unsuccessful Success? Failed No-Confidence Motions, Competence Signals, and Electoral Support", Comparative Political Studies. PDF, Additional Materials and Replication Materials.


  • Laron K. Williams, David J. Brule and Michael T. Koch (2010): "War Voting: Interstate Disputes, the Economy, and Electoral Outcomes", Conflict Management and Peace Science. PDF and Additional Materials.


  • David J. Brule and Laron K. Williams (2009): "Democracy and Diversion: Aggressive Foreign Responses to Domestic Economic Problems," Journal of Peace Research. PDF.


  • Zeynep Somer-Topcu and Laron K. Williams (2008): "Survival of the Fittest," Comparative Politics. PDF.