Probabilistic Long-Term Effects

Christopher Gandrud and I develop an R package called pltesim to generate probabilistic long-term effects for models of binary outcomes with temporal dependence controls (such as cubic splines or polynomials).

Download Instructions

  • To download pltesim install the latest development version with the devtools package type devtools::install_github("christophergandrud/pltesim")


If you use pltesim please cite the companion article and the package article:

  1. Laron K. Williams. 2016. “Long-Term Effects for Models with Temporal Dependence.” Political Analysis. Link
  2. Christopher Gandrud and Laron K. Williams. 2017. “Simulating Probabilistic Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence.” The R Journal. Link